March 20, 2025

Samsung's Chip Unit Braces for Hefty Q1 Loss

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In recent news, Samsung Electronics is navigating through a rough patch as its memory chip division faces substantial financial lossesReports indicate that the unit is expected to lose around 30 trillion South Korean Won, which is approximately 15.87 billion Chinese YuanThis loss has cast a shadow over the entire quarter's financial forecasts, as projections suggest it could get even worse, with total losses reaching up to 40 trillion Won, equivalent to roughly 21.1 billion Yuan, by the end of the first quarter.

This alarming statistic marks the first time in 14 years that Samsung’s storage chip segment has seen such significant losses, a predicament reminiscent of when the company faced a similar downturn during the global financial crisis in late 2008.

Insider reports suggest that an internal assessment anticipates operational losses in the memory chip sector could soar to as high as 40 trillion Won

This signal of distress has experts and analysts on high alert, underscoring the importance of addressing these financial woes promptly.

The Device Solutions (DS) division, while typically a beacon of profitability for Samsung, has itself contributed to these losses, forecasting at least 20 trillion Won in lossesDespite being a profitable wing of Samsung’s semiconductor business, it lacks the scale necessary to counterbalance the dire losses in the memory chip section.

To put this in perspective, the DS department has historically been Samsung's most lucrative segment, responsible for generating significant portions of the company's profit

Until late last year, when semiconductor prices plummeted, this segment was riding high on the back of strong market conditions.

Last year, Samsung reported an impressive total operating profit of 43.4 trillion Won, with the chip division accounting for a staggering 23.8 trillion Won of that totalHowever, figures from the previous year’s first quarter showed the chip unit yielding 8.5 trillion Won, followed by 9.9 trillion in the second quarter, and a notable 5.12 trillion in the third quarter—each a reflection of a prosperous segment.

Fast forward to the fourth quarter of last year, the situation had drastically deteriorated, with the operating profit plummeting to a mere 270 billion Won—a staggering 97% decline year-on-year.

The price drops in both DRAM and NAND chips have compounded these troubles, leading to an already subdued memory chip market becoming even grimmer

Samsung's memory chip sector, having seen quarterly losses at historically low levels, experienced a depth of despair, reminiscent of the crash in 2008 and 2001.

With DRAM prices reaching unprecedented low levels, recent analyses show that the average price for 8GB DDR4 memory chips has plummeted to just $1.81—a mere quarter of the average price from four years ago.

Market research firm TrendForce projects another drop of 20% in DRAM prices in the first quarter, followed by an 11% decrease in the second quarter

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NAND flash prices are also expected to fall by 10% and then by 3% in subsequent quarters—an alarming trend as last year alone saw a 34% decline in DRAM pricing.

In light of these mounting losses, Samsung Electronics has reportedly borrowed 20 trillion Won from its subsidiary, Samsung Display, a move critiqued by analysts as a necessary measure to stabilize investment in semiconductors.

According to Jeff Kim, a securities analyst with KB Financial Group in South Korea, such actions are inevitable given that losses are anticipated across Samsung’s DS sector for the first time in a decade and a half

Since this unit manages the lion’s share of the firm's cash reserves, tapping into its resources appears paramount.

Samsung’s capital expenditure levels are projected to remain consistent with last year’s levels, without plans for any “artificial” reductions in semiconductor production, indicating a commitment to maintaining their operational integrity through turbulent periods.

Understanding the strategic importance of local investment sources is critical, as a majority of the 53 trillion Won earmarked for capital expenditure this year is dedicated to domestic operations.

Despite facing monumental losses in its memory chip unit, Samsung’s other areas, particularly in smartphones and consumer electronics, continue to bolster the company’s overall financial performance.

In stark contrast, SK Hynix, another major player in the semiconductor landscape, finds itself significantly more vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on memory chip production, with over 90% of its sales derived from this sector.

Financial analysts from FnGuide project that SK Hynix's initial quarter losses could reach 27 trillion Won

Comparatively, in the fourth quarter of last year, the company suffered a similar blow, recording operational losses of 17 trillion Won, a stark contrast to the 42.1 trillion Won profit it reported just a year earlier.

Amidst these struggles, experts recommend focusing on premium products, which seem less impacted by declining memory chip prices, indicating a potential strategic pivot for companies in the semiconductor sector.

Professor Park Jae-gun from Hanyang University has emphasized the need for chip manufacturers to dedicate resources to developing high-performance memory chips, heralding a call to action for the industry to innovate amidst adversity.

As the ripple effects of the declining memory chip market continue to unfold, concerns mount regarding the overall health of the semiconductor industry in South Korea, fundamentally tied to the performance of generative memory chip sectors.

While companies like Samsung have the fortitude to absorb losses through diverse revenue streams, the singularly focused operations of SK Hynix place it in a precarious position—a scenario that illuminates the potential volatility in semiconductor profitability and performance.

Analyzing the broader picture, the South Korean semiconductor industry, traditionally a powerhouse, is experiencing a seismic shift, attributed mainly to the current state of the memory chip market, leading to uncertainties that could redefine the landscape moving forward.

Research from the Korean Industry Research Institute indicates a concerning competitiveness score of 71 for the semiconductor industry, with memory chips holding a high score of 87, while non-memory chips lagged at only 63—highlighting the disparity and the need for strategic pivots moving forward.

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